My October Oscar Predictions

Best Plot/Synopsis

***Behind Closed Doors***
The Dead President
Field of Desire
For Pay
The Gold of Cajamarca
Tabula Rasa

I'm going with Behind Closed Doors. The Gold of Cajamarca and For Pay are close behind. The Dead President is in competition too.

Best Awards Campaign

Behind Closed Doors
Criminal Origins
The Dead President
For Pay
***Thoroughly Modern Millie***
Zeppelin 2020

Thoroughly Modern Millie has a great poster. I can see Criminal Origins or For Pay taking the award.

Best Online Awards Campaing

***Catastrophe-astrophe***
The Cloud
For Pay
The Ice Princess (own bait)
Standford's Prison

Catastrophe-astrophe is the frontrunner. Maybe The Cloud....

Best Title

Behind Closed Doors
***Field of Desire***
If Tomorrow Never Comes...
Needle in the Hay
The Road We Traveled

No comments

Best Box-Office Potential

The Curious Savage (own bait with Ryan)
The Dark Tower I: The Gunslinger
The Dark Tower II: The Drawing of the Three
***The Haunting***
To Serve Man
Zappelin 2020

Jodie Foster's comeback is a must seen. Both of the Dark Towers could make it as well.

Best Cult Film

Catastrophe-astrophe
***Criminal Origins***
Harvey Black.
LD
Switching Time
The Witch of Portobello

No comments

Most Original Bait

The Dead President
For Pay
Harvey Black.
***A Modern Tale***
Tabula Rasa
The Road We Traveled

Most Original Character

Danny Roberts (Macaulay Culkin), For Pay
Harvey Black (Christopher Walken), Harvey Black.
Kevin (Michael Cera), LD
Dolores Sinclair (Meryl Streep), A Modern Tale
The Priest (Jude Law), Tabula Rasa
James Cowry (Edward Burns), Welcome Back
***Leyton Hume (Joseph Gordon-Levitt), Zeppelin 2020***

These are great characters but I think this will be the turn of Zeppelin 2020. If it's not, Tabula Rasa would not surprise me.

Best Cast

***The Dead President***
Field of Desire
The Gold of Cajamarca
Things We Lost in the Time of War
Standfor'd Prison

I see this one pretty clear.

Best Casting Choice

Dennis Haysbert as Detective Alan Handrick in Criminal Origins
Daniel Day Lewis as Francisco Pizarro in The Gold of Cajamarca
Christopher Walken as Harvey Black in Harvey Black.
Lisa Kudrow as Erica Falck in The Ice Princess (own bait)
***Susan Sarandon as Ann Marie Fowler in Things We Lost in the Time of War***

Grieving mother/grandma is a character Susan Sarandon was born to play, I don't know why. Altough I think I may have some possibilities here.

Best Crew

The Cloud
Criminal Origins
Standford's Prison
To Serve Man
***Zepellin 2020***

Best Tagline

Behind Closed Doors
The Cloud
The Dark Tower I
***The Dead President***
Needle in the Hay
The Road We Traveled

Funniest Bait

The Curious Savage (own bait with Ryan)
Mr. & Mrs. Woods
***A Modern Tale***
The Road We Traveled
Thoroughly Modern Millie

Shameless Oscar-Vehicles

Field of Desire
The Good Guy
If Tomorrow Never Comes...
Needle in the Hay
***Things We Lost in the Time of War***
The Witch of Portobello

Best Poster

The Could
The Gold of Cajamarca
***A Modern Tale***
Tabula Rasa
Thoroughly Modern Millie

Best Author of the Month

Alfredo
Bryce M.
***Chris M.***
Conrado Falco
Pat
Zgamer

It's all between Chris M., Alfredo and Bryce M.

THE BIG 8

Best Director

David Fincher, Criminal Origins
Marc Foster, The Cloud
***Michael Heneke, Behind Closed Doors***
Mike Nichols, The Dead President
Gus Van Sant, For Pay

Pretty good month for directors, Behind Closed Doors is a frontrunner followed close behind by The Cloud and For Pay

Best Actor

***Macaulay Culkin, For Pay***
pros: Great character, comeback factor, best picture nomination
cons: Home Alone, no precursors.
Jeff Bridges, The Dead President
pros: best picture nomination, oscar friendly character
cons: no buzz
John Goodman, Behind Closed Doors
pros: precursors, his bait is on of the biggest surprise of the month
cons: maybe too much buzz
Jude Law, Tabula Rasa
pros: very anticiped bait
cons: no best picture nomination
Christopher Walken, Harvey Black.
pros: surprise factor?
cons: no buzz

Best Actress

Sutton Foster, Thoroughly Modern Millie
pros: she has the buzz
cons: comedy/musical bait
Keira Knightley, The Witch of Portobello
pros: unexpected nomination
cons: not buzz at all
Lisa Kudrow, The Ice Princess (own bait)
Susan Sarandon, Things We Lost in the Time of War
pros: oscar friendly character
cons: shameless oscar vehicle
***Meryl Streep, A Modern Tale***
pros: meryl streep
cons: meryl streep
Kerry Washington, Field of Desire
pros: precursors, buzz, second nomination
cons: expected winner, too much buzz

Best Supporting Actor

Gabriel Byrne, Catastrphe-astrophe
***Richard Chamberlain, For Pay***
Dennis Haysbert, Criminal Origins
Ethan Hawke, Standford's Prison
David Strathairn, The Cloud

I've been voting Chamberlain and I'm with him.

Best Supporting Actress

Maggie Gyllenhaal, Behind Closed Doors
Megan Mullaly, Thoroughly Modern Millie
Elizabeth Reaser, Field of Desire
***Eva Marie Saint, Kathy's Desire***
Patricia Wettig, The Dead President

Same as Chamberlain

Best Original Screenplay

The Dead President
Field of Desire
Harvey Black.
***Tabula Rasa***
Welcome Back

Best Adapted Screenplay

***Criminal Origins***
The Dark Tower I
The Gold of Cajamarca
Switching Time
Thoroughly Modern Millie
The Witch of Portobello

Best Picture

Behind Closed Doors
The Dead President
Field of Desire
For Pay
***The Gold of Cajamarca***

I don't know why but I have the feeling TGOC will be the big surprise of this month.

That's it. Please Leave comments

Oscar Race 2008 - Best Actress

The Five Frontrunner

1- Marion Cotillard (La Vie en Rose)


Her buzz is still alive and she's will be a lock if she gets some precursors recognition. Of course she has got to win de Golden Globe M-C








2- Keira Knightley (Atonement)


The film has got great reviews, and she will probably earn a nomination if the buzz doesn't go down.








3- Ellen Page (Juno)


She's got a really huge buzz right now, if she keeps it she wont have any problem to get a nomination.







4- Julie Christie (Away From Her)



Beside the early realease, she still has the buzz. With some precursors she wont have problems to sneak in.





5- Nicole Kidman (Margot at the Wedding)



I have big expectations with her. If the campaign is strong enough and she get some precursors, she has a good chance to make it.






Close Behind.

6- Laura Linney (The Savages)

7- Cate Blanchett (The Golden Age)

8- Helena Bonham Carter (Sweeney Todd)

9- Angelina Jolie (A Mighty Heart)

10- Jodie Foster (The Brave One)

Could Happen

11- Giovanna Mezzogiorno (Love in the Time of Cholera)

12- Keri Russell (Waitress)

13- Amy Adams (Enchanted)

14- Halle Berry (Things We Lost in the Fire)

15- Julianne Moore (Savage Grace)

A Few Possibilities

16- Meryl Streep (Lions for Lambs)

17- Belén Rueda (The Orphanage)

18- Uma Thurman (In Bloom)

19- Naomi Watts (Eastern Promises)

20- Hilary Swank (P.S., I Love You)

Dropping

21- Charlize Theron (In the Valley of Ellah)

22- Markéta Irglová (Once)

23- Sarah Jessica Parker (Spinning Into Butter)

24- Anne Hathaway (Becoming Jane)

25- Catherine Keener (An American Crime)

26- Reese Witherspoon (Rendition)

27- Jennifer Connelly (Reservation Road)

LISA KUDROW (THE ICE PRICESS)

Now Nominated:

Golden Globes:

-Best Actress Comedy/Musical

SAG:

-Best Actress

THANKS.

Golden Globes and SAG predix

Golden Globes

Best Screenplay

Behind Closed Doors, written by Michael Haneke

Tabula Rasa, written by Randall Wallace

Criminal Origins, written by James Vanderbilt

The Dead President, written by David E. Kelley

For Pay, written by Gus Van Sant

Harvey Black., written by Charlie Kaufman

Predicted winner: Tabula Rasa

Maybe: For Pay, Criminal Origins

Best Supporting Actress

Maggie Gyllenhaal for Behind Closed Doors

Eva Marie Saint for Kathy's Desire

Patrica Wettig for The Dead President

Dominique Swain for For Pay

Megan Mullaly for Thoroughly Modern Millie

Elizabeth Reaser for Field of Desire

Predicted winner: Eva Marie Saint

Many Possibilities : Maggie Gyllenhaal, Patricia Wettig

Some Possibilities : Dominique Swain, Elizabeth Reaser

Don't think so: Megan Mullaly, Thoroughly Modern Millie

Best Supporting Actor

Dennis Haysbert for Criminal Origins

Jeremy Piven for The Dead President

Richard Chamberlain for For Pay

James Spader for The Dead President

Ethan Hawk for Stanford's Prison

David Strathirn for The Cloud

Predicted winner: Richard Chamberlain

Many Possibilities: Jeremy Piven, Ethan Hawk

Some Possibilities: James Spader

Don't Think So: Dennis Haysbert, David Strathirn

Best Actress Comedy/Musical

Queen Latifah for The Curious Savage

Reese Witherspoon for If Tomorrow Never Comes...

Meryl Streep for A Modern Tale

Jennifer Hudson for Mr. & Mrs. Woods

Sutton Foster for Thoroughly Modern Millie

Emily Blunt for The Road We Traveled

I really hope Queen Latifah wins, since The curious savage is my team bait with Ryan.

Predicted Winner: Meryl Streep

Many Possibilities: Sutton Foster

Some Possibilities: Reese Witherspoon

Don't think so: Emily Blunt, Jennifer Hudson

Best Actor Comedy/Musical

Cillian Murphy for The Good Guy

Taye Diggs for Mr. & Mrs. Woods

James McAvoy for Needle In The Hay

Matthew Macfayden for The Road We Traveled

Charlie Hunnam for The Road We Traveled

Predicted winner: Cillian Murphy

Many Possibilities: James McAvoy

Some Possibilities: Matthew Macfayden

Don't think so: Taye Diggs, Charlie Hunnam

Best Actress Drama

Natalie Portman for The Cloud

Fairuza Balk for Switching Time

Kerry Washington for Field of Desire

Lisa Kudrow for The Ice Princess

Susan Sarandon for Things We Lost in the Time of War

WOW Lisa Kudrow nominated thank you so much. I really, really hope she wins. Of course I'm not listing her in the possibilities list, like Queen Latifah.

Predicted winner: Kerry Washington
Many Possibilities: Susan Sarandon, Natalie Portman
Some Possibilities: Fariuza Balk

Best Actor Drama

Jude Law for Tabula Rasa

Jeff Bridges for The Dead President

Macaulay Culkin for For Pay

John Goodman for Behind Closed Doors

Christopher Walken for Harvey Black.

Predicted winner: Macaulay Culkin

Many Possibilities: John Goodman, Jude Law

Some Possibilities: Jeff Bridges

Don't think so: Christopher Walken

Best Director

Michael Heneke for Behind Closed Doors

Marc Forster for The Cloud

Mike Nichols for The Dead President

Gus Van Sant for For Pay

David Fincher for Criminal Origins

Zack Snyder for Tabula Rasa

Predicted Winner: Marc Foster

Many Possibilities: Gus Van Sant, Michael Heneke

Some Possibilities: Zack Snyder

Don't Think So: Mike Nichols, David Fincher

Best Picture Comedy/Musical

The Good Guy, written by Tony

A Modern Tale, written by Sergio

Needle In The Hay, written by Adam

The Road We Traveled, written by Pat

Thoroughly Modern Millie, written by Michael

Predicted Winner: A Modern Tale

Many Possibilities: Thoroughly Modern Millie

Some Possibilities: The Good Guy

Don't think so: Needle in the Hay, The Road We Traveled

Best Picture Drama

For Pay, written by Alfredo

The Dead President, written by Pat

Field of Desire, written by Bryce

Criminal Origins, written by Zgamer

Tabula Rasa, written by Tony

Predicted winner: For Pay

Many Possibilities: Field of Desire

Some Possibilities: Tabula Rasa, The Dead President

Don't think so: Criminal Origins

SAG

Best Supporting Actress

Maggie Gyllenhaal for Behind Closed Doors

Elizabeth Reaser for Field of Desire

Eva Marie Saint for Kathy's Desire

Dominique Swain for For Pay

Patricia Wettig for The Dead President

Predicted Winner: Eva Marie Saint

Many Possibilities: Maggie Gyllenhaal, Patricia Wettig

Some Possibilities: Dominique Swain

Don't think so: Elizabeth Reaser

Best Supporting Actor

Tobin Bell for The Dark Tower I

Gabriel Byrne for Catastrophe-astrophe

Richard Chamberlain for For Pay

Dennis Haysbert for Criminal Origins

Jeremy Piven for The Dead President

David Strathairn for The Cloud

Predicted Winner: Richard Chamberlain

Many Possibilities: Jeremy Piven, Gabriel Byrne

Some Possibilities: Tobin Bell

Don't think so: Dennis Haysbert, David Strathairn

Best Lead Actress

Fairuza Balk for Switching Time

Sutton Foster for Thoroughly Modern Millie

Lisa Kudrow for The Ice Princess

Natalie Portman for The Cloud

Kerry Washington for Field of Desire

Meryl Streep for A Modern Tale

Again thanks for Lisa Kudrow nomination, and again I wont list her.

Predicted Winner: Meryl Streep

Many Possibilities: Kerry Washington

Some Possibilities: Natalie Portman, Sutton Foster

Don't think so: Fariuza Balk

Best Lead Actor

Jeff Bridges for The Dead President

Macaulay Culkin for For Pay

John Goodman for Behind Closed Doors

Viggo Mortensen for Field of Desire

Jude Law for Tabula Rasa

Predicted Winner: Macaulay Culkin

Many Possibilities: John Goodman, Jude Law

Some Possibilities: Jeff Bridges

Don't think so: Viggo Mortensen

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY THE CAST OF A MOTION PICTURE

The Cloud

The Dead President

Field of Desire

For Pay

Standford's Prison

Predicted Winner: For Pay

Many Possibilities: The Cloud, Field of Desire

Some Possibilities: The Dead President

Don't think so: Standford's Prison

GOLDEN THOUGHTS WINNERS

Golden Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role

RICHARD CHAMBERLAIN, FOR PAY

Other Nominees:

- Clancy Brown, Tabula Rasa
- Peter Fonda, Things We Lost in the Time of War
- Jeremy Piven, The Dead President
- David Strathairn, The Cloud

Golden Perfomance by an Actress in a Supporting Role

MAGGIE SMITH, A MODERN TALE

Other Nominees:

- Maggie Gyllenhaal, Behind Closed Doors
- Eva Marie Saint, Kathy's Desire
- Patricia Wettig, The Dead President
- Betty White, If Tomorrow Never Comes...

Golden Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role

MACAULAY CULKIN, FOR PAY

Other Nominees:

- Jeff Bridges, The Dead President
- Jude Law, Tabula Rasa
- Shia LeBeouf, The Cloud
- Viggo Mortensen, Field of Desire

Golden Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role

SUSAN SARANDON, THINGS WE LOST IN THE TIME OF WAR

Other Nominees:

- Fariuza Balk, Switching Times
- Sutton Foster, Thoroughly Modern Millie
- Natalie Portman, The Clou
- Meryl Streep, A Modern Tale

Golden Directing

MARC FOSTER, THE CLOUD

Other Nominees:

- Gus Van Sant, For Pay
- Rob Reiner, A Modern Tale
- Paul Haggis, Things We Lost in the Time of War
- David Fincher, Criminal Origins

Golden Screenplay

RANDALL WALLACE, TABULA RASA

Other Nominees:

- Nora Ephron, A Modern Tale
- Michael Haneke, Behind Closed Doors
- David E. Kelley, The Dead President
- Paul Haggis & Mark Boal, Things We Lost in the Time of War

Golden Author of the Month

SERGIO

Other Nominees:

- Alfredo
- Michael
- Pat
- Tony

Golden Crew

TABULA RASA

Other Nominees:

- Things We Lost in the Time of War
- Switching Time
- The Witch of Portobello
- Zeppelin 2020

Golden Motion Picture

FOR PAY

Other Nominees:

- A Modern Tale
- The Cloud
- The Dead President
- Things We Lost in the Time of War

GOLDEN THOUGHTS NOMINATIONS

Golden Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role

- Clancy Brown, Tabula Rasa
- Richard Chamberlain, For Pay
- Peter Fonda, Things We Lost in the Time of War
- Jeremy Piven, The Dead President
- David Strathairn, The Cloud

Golden Perfomance by an Actress in a Supporting Role

- Maggie Gyllenhaal, Behind Closed Doors
- Eva Marie Saint, Kathy's Desire
- Maggie Smith, A Modern Tale
- Patricia Wettig, The Dead President
- Betty White, If Tomorrow Never Comes...

Golden Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role

- Jeff Bridges, The Dead President
- Macaulay Culkin, For Pay
- Jude Law, Tabula Rasa
- Shia LeBeouf, The Cloud
- Viggo Mortensen, Field of Desire

Golden Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role

- Fariuza Balk, Switching Times
- Sutton Foster, Thoroughly Modern Millie
- Natalie Portman, The Cloud
- Susan Sarandon, Things We Lost in the Time of War
- Meryl Streep, A Modern Tale

Golden Directing

- Gus Van Sant, For Pay
- Rob Reiner, A Modern Tale
- Paul Haggis, Things We Lost in the Time of War
- Marc Foster, The Cloud
- David Fincher, Criminal Origins

Golden Screenplay

- Randall Wallace, Tabula Rasa
- Nora Ephron, A Modern Tale
- Michael Haneke, Behind Closed Doors
- David E. Kelley, The Dead President
- Paul Haggis & Mark Boal, Things We Lost in the Time of War

Golden Author of the Month

- Alfredo
- Michael
- Pat
- Sergio
- Tony

Golden Crew

- Things We Lost in the Time of War
- Tabula Rasa
- Switching Time
- The Witch of Portobello
- Zeppelin 2020

Golden Motion Picture

- A Modern Tale
- The Cloud
- The Dead President
- For Pay
- Things We Lost in the Time of War


Winners will be announced tomorrow. Good Luck.

October's Ranking

This are my 15 favorite baits.

15 - Stuck on Level 13 (Ryan)

14 - The Good Guy (Tony)

13 - Thoroughly Modern Millie (Michael)

12 - If Tomorrow Never Comes (Masnor)

11 - Welcome Back (Bryce M.)

10 - Switching Time (Chris M.)

9 - Behind Closed Doors (Chris M.)

8 - Field of Desire (Bryce M.)

7 - Kathy's Desire (Joshua)

6 - The Cloud (Sergio)

5 - Tabula Rasa (Tony)

4 - The Dead President (Pat)

3 - Things We Lost in the Time of War (T.D.)

2 - A Modern Tale (Sergio)

1 - For Pay (Alfredo)

Leave comments

Lisa Kudrow for Best Actress (The Ice Princess)

Yes, another blog.

Hi everyone.

I hope nobody gets mad, but I'm creating a new blog.

The first time I saw this contest, I thouhgt it was a great idea. People who loves this industry will love this site. It's not just the contest itself but the wonderful world you've created around it. It's just great.

I'm new in the contest. I started last month. I want to contribute to this world, and this is a good way to go. I will post in the forum the updates.

I hope you'll help me with your comments and your support. I'll try my best to create an enjoyable and interesting blog.

See you soon.